Free Analysis

Data-driven stock analysis, valuation deep dives, and financial forensics. Every article backed by the numbers.

ValuationNEM

Four Reasons Newmont's Recent Drop Is an Opportunity, Not a Warning

Newmont fell sharply despite gold's strength. Four points explain why the drop is a gift for patient investors.

Apr 14, 2026
Market SignalsAMD

Five Things the Market Is Missing About AMD's Data Center Share Gains

AMD's EPYC platform is gaining share faster than the headlines suggest. Five points explain why the next 12 months matter more than the last three.

Apr 14, 2026
RiskPLTR

The Palantir Re-Rating Still Ignores the Customer Concentration Problem

Palantir is back near all-time highs. The consensus has forgotten the customer concentration risk that defined the bear case a year ago.

Apr 14, 2026
Deep DivesBHP

Three Commodity Cycles Point to the Same Reality at BHP

BHP is up 60% in a year, iron ore curbs are easing, and the copper pivot is maturing. Three cycles of data point to where the stock sits now.

Apr 14, 2026
RiskDIS

Disney's 1,000 Layoffs Expose the Cost Structure Nobody Wants to Discuss

Disney began cutting 1,000 jobs this week. The move reveals the cost problem the company has been dancing around since the streaming pivot.

Apr 14, 2026
ValuationSHOP

Why the Street Is Wrong to Fixate on Shopify's 118x PE

The consensus sees an overvalued e-commerce stock. The forward earnings trajectory, driven by enterprise growth and margin expansion, tells a different story at 58x forward earnings and falling.

Apr 14, 2026
Market SignalsMA

Mastercard's Cross-Border Volume Tells the Real Growth Story

The payments giant's 45.7% profit margin and accelerating cross-border volume, driven by neobank partnerships and travel recovery, make it one of the market's highest-quality compounders.

Apr 14, 2026
ValuationXOM

Exxon's Permian Compounding Deserves a Re-Rating the Market Still Refuses

ExxonMobil is compounding Permian barrels at roughly 8% a year at industry-low breakevens. The multiple disagrees.

Apr 14, 2026
RiskMCD

Why the Red Bull Menu Deal Does Not Fix McDonald's Traffic Problem

McDonald's added Red Bull to the menu this week. The consensus view is that beverage innovation drives traffic. The data says otherwise.

Apr 14, 2026
Capital AllocationSLB

SLB's Capital Discipline Makes It the Best Bet in Energy Services

A 6.2% free cash flow yield, consistent $4-5 billion in annual FCF, and a strategic pivot toward digital and subsea services make SLB the standout capital allocator in its sector.

Apr 14, 2026
Market SignalsINTC

Revisiting Intel After the TD Cowen Lift and CPU Demand Signal

TD Cowen just lifted its Intel price target amid a strong CPU demand outlook. The demand recovery is real; the execution story still needs proof.

Apr 14, 2026
ValuationComparisonRIOvsBHP

Five Charts That Explain Rio Tinto's Persistent Discount to BHP

Rio Tinto trades at 12x forward earnings against BHP's 20x. The valuation gap is driven by iron ore concentration, margin volatility, and a diversification story that is still unfolding.

Apr 14, 2026
Deep DivesASML

Inside ASML's Lithography Dominance and Why It Justifies 51x Earnings

ASML is the sole manufacturer of EUV lithography machines. With 200 systems in the field, High-NA ramping, and AI driving secular demand, the installed base alone is worth more than the market appreciates.

Apr 14, 2026
Market SignalsBAC

Revisiting Bank of America After the Financials Rally

The thesis from our capital allocation coverage has been validated, but at 12x forward earnings with a PEG below 1.0, Bank of America still offers the best growth-adjusted value in big banking.

Apr 14, 2026
ValuationMRK

Merck's Pipeline Is Worth More Than the Keytruda Cliff Suggests

At 16.7x trailing earnings, the market is pricing in a worst-case patent cliff. Subcutaneous Keytruda, Winrevair's rapid launch, and a deep oncology pipeline tell a different story.

Apr 14, 2026