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CAT's Energy & Transportation segment is now running at a $30 billion revenue pace on the back of data centre power demand. The market is still valuing the company as a pure construction cyclical.
Caterpillar compounds free cash flow in ways peers cannot match. The current cycle is producing the kind of margin discipline and order-book visibility that historically has supported a multi-year re-rate. At 34x forward earnings, the multiple is reasonable on mid-cycle earnings power.
Across mining recoveries, infrastructure booms, and the data centre build-out, Caterpillar's management has shown a capital allocation discipline that most industrial peers lack. The stock is pricing that in.